Breaking News on Terrorism

The US government has taken final decision on the beginning of war with Iran; the US Congress has supported President’s intention, having removed all restrictions on the beginning of war against Iran. War of the USA against Iran is not inevitable, but it is possible to speak about its beginning only with probability. Such opinion was stated today by Leonid Ivashov, who is the president of Academy of geopolitical problems.
He has not excluded an opportunity, that the USA can use the tactical nuclear weapon in operations against Iran. If the USA or Israel use the nuclear weapon, escalation of application of all those substances that are regarded as the weapon of mass destruction.
It is believed, that the basic purposes for defeat by the American ammunition, including nuclear, in territory of Iran can be up to 350 prime objects, including 128 nuclear objects. The nuclear program of Iran can be stopped by the Americans and their allies by destroying up to 20 Iranian objects and, first of all, laboratories and the enterprises on centrifuges manufacture.
taking into account the fact that the USA are having only four command now; it is assumed, that ground intrusion of US armies on territory of Iran is not reasonable and the Americans will be limited to drawing transient “disinfecting” attack on the major Iranian objects. The Iran’s return strike may be quite asymmetric.

This Thursday the US Senate has approved the budgetary bill providing a stage-by-stage withdrawal of American armed forces troops from Iraq till March, 31st, 2008.
At 51 voice pro and 47 contra the senators have supported the budgetary bill of additional financing charges on war in Iraq and Afghanistan at a rate of $121,6 billion.
The Senate has supported the included into the text of the senatorial bill regulations on that the President should start stage-by-stage re-disposition of US armies from Iraq not later than in 120 days after date of acceptance of the given bill with purpose to carry out the re-disposition of all fighting parts of armies of the USA from Iraq up to March, 31st, 2008.
It was also marked, that US armies should not carry out police functions in civil war and that the current conflict in Iraq requires mainly the political salvation.
The document requires that the President of the USA should operatively change character of mission of armed forces in Iraq.
Last week the requirement on withdrawal of American troops from Iraq has been supported by the House of Representatives of the Congress.
After senatorial voting both versions of the bill, accepted by the House of Representatives and the Senate, are being forwarded to the conciliatory commission for development of the full text, which, then, should be again approved by both chambers.
It is expected, that it will occur not earlier than in the middle of April.
Georges Bush has already for several times declared, that he will put a veto for any bill, including the requirement on withdrawal of American troops from Iraq and the bill ” has no chances to become the law “.
Bush has warned, that America cannot admit the defeat in Iraq and that “imposing” by the congress of date of withdrawal of American armies will lead to “catastrophic consequences” for the USA.
 

The specialists of protection against mass destruction center (the University of Georgia) have come to conclusion, that the USA is not ready to nuclear attack. The reason is the “bottlenecks” of hospital system.
This is one of the most detailed unclassified researches. The authors recognized that the probability of nuclear attack to the USA is constantly increasing. The center has assumed, that the nuclear charge can be blown up in the center of one of large American cities (the largest American cities -New York, Chicago, Atlanta and Washington -were used the so-called “guinea pigs”). Here there were also two variants - in the first one - the capacity of a charge “made” 20 kilotons, in the second one - 550 kilotons (for comparison: in 1945 to Hiroshima the bomb by capacity 12 kilotons, to Nagasaki - 20 kilotons) have been dumped.
The conclusions of the final research are the following. As Washington ProFile writes in case of explosion of the “small” (20 kilotons) charge, a half of population of the central part of the city will be humbled, and the majority of people will be killed by fragments of the destroyed buildings (houses above ten floors will fail at all). People, who would manage to survive at explosion, will receive fatal dozes of radiation. “Big” (550 kilotons) charge will cause even greater destructions - sharp rise in temperature in the zone of explosion will be especially dangerous. Everything will be practically burnt down on 6,3 km epicenter distance. The similar charge, which would be blown up in the center of New York, would kill more than 5 million people.
Nuclear explosion will destroy or will make impossible the use of local hospitals. As a result the majority of victims couldn’t receive medical aid in time. For example, if in Atlanta the “big” charge, there would be more than 300 thousand burnt people in the city, who would die without corresponding and urgent treatment. However the American hospitals don’t have enough places and 80-90 % hospital-rooms are constantly occupied. Moreover, the patients, suffering heavy burns, would be delivered to the hospitals very seldom owing to what the personnel would not be able to help them quickly and would not have necessary medicines, the equipment and etc.
Hence, even if the hospital would escape at explosion, it would not have an opportunity to accept all victims and, the worst of all is that not would not be able to save all dying people. As the result, ascertains research, up to 90 % of burnt people would die. In resechers’ opinion, if the system of the American hospitals functioning will be changed, the quantity of deaths could be considerably reduced, having led a death rate up to 20-30 %.
It is necessary to note, that 20 kilotons charges in Northern Korea have been already possessed and, theoretically, the terrorists (as this technology is already more 60 years old and all necessary information on the “know-how” has been opened for a long time) can create them. As MIGnews.com. marks much more powerful nuclear charges capacity can be theoretically stolen by terrorists from the Soviet arsenals.
 

The UN Security Council’s new resolution does not foresee an opportunity of a military way out from the Iranian “nuclear problem”.  According to the UNO’s resolution such decision is based on 4st1 item of the UNO’s 7th Charter, which does not suppose any military intervention.
On March, 24th, 2007, the UN Security Council has unanimously accepted the new resolution across Iran. Except for the listed measures the new resolution also means blocking of 28 people and the organizations banking current accounts. Such financial measures concern only the participants of development of the Iranian nuclear program, 30% of which are connected with Iranian army. Thus the Security Council has not only forbidden the export of arms from Iran, but it has also called other states “to show extra care and restraint” by deliveries of weapon to Iran.
The Resolution forbids the states and the international financial organizations to sign contracts with Teheran on granting the economic help and credits on favorable terms. The exception is made for cases of allocation of these means for humanitarian programs.
In case of performance by Iran of all UNO’s requirements, the sanctions will be removed, however, if Teheran again ignores Security Council’s requirements, the United Nations will take new measures.
Members of “six” (UN Security Council’s constant members and Germany) have approved a package of new anti-Iranian sanctions last week. After that the project of the document has been transferred for studying to representatives of 10 non-permanent members of Security Council. In the beginning of current week the republic of South Africa, Qatar and Indonesia have presented the remarks which have been considered by constant UNO’s members.
The reaction of Iran to the resolution has appeared predicted. The Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister of Iran, making comments on the acceptance of the new resolution, has declared that the international pressure and intimidation will not change Teheran’s policy in the field of nuclear technologies. Thus he has noted that Iran is not interested in the conflict and does not apply for something, except for respect of the inalienable laws.

As it has become known, voting, concerning the presence of the American armies at Iraq, has been held in the US Congress Representatives House. Congressmen have voted for the withdrawal of the American troops till August, 31st, 2008 or even earlier - up to the end of December, 2007 in case the Iraq government will not carry out of its obligations.
Before the beginning of calculation of voices the speaker of House of Representatives has declared that this voting was the voting by the termination of war in Iraq. It was also mentioned that war in Iraq is “a grotesque mistake”.
The bill, approved by the chamber, requires also that the government of Iraq has approved the law, accessing opening of Iraq oil deposits to the foreign companies.
Earlier, the US President Georges Bush has declared, that he will put a veto for the similar decision as he considers the withdrawal of American troops as a gross mistake.

In connection with fourth anniversary of the beginning of war in Iraq Georges Bush has made the application, having declared, that the consequences of premature leaving of the American armies from Iraq “might be catastrophic” for safety of the USA.
The US President has emphasized not months, instead of days or weeks be required for the success, but those American militaries, who are in Iraq now, are observing a number of encouraging attributes and there still much to do there.
The Chief of the White House has also criticized the bill on obligatory withdrawal of American troops from Iraq by autumn, 2008, which is being considered by the American Congress now.
President Bush has also emphasized that it can seem, that “going home” would be the best variant for the US government. Nevertheless, the President has also stressed that from his point of view the consequences of such strategy would be catastrophic for the American safety.